Friday, June 25, 2010

Bob McKenzie's Draft Rankings - A Final Look

I love the NHL draft. This may seem to be a bit of a dis-connect being a Leaf fan and all. The Leafs are not exactly a franchise known for keeping their picks, using their picks wisely, or developing the kids they do manage to grab. This is a team, after all, that once used all of their first round picks to draft three Belleville Bulls.

Each year, in the days leading up to the draft, TSN's Bob McKenzie puts together a master list of the order in which thinks players will be drafted. It's not a ranking per se - like Central Scouting or Red Line Report puts together - rather it's McKenzie's insight into what the final draft order may be, based on discussions with NHL scouts, managers, and other executives.

The following table looks at the actual draft order and how it compared with the master list assembled by McKenzie. As much as expressions like "off the board" were thrown around during the draft coverage, one look at this chart shows that McKenzie was actually very close. Sure, nobody would have seen Hishon going at 17 or Visentin at 27, but otherwise McKenzie was pretty close.

The first column is the actual draft order, followed by the drafting team, McKeznie's projected ranking and finally a differential between the projected draft ranking and where the player was actually taken.

Actual Player Picked

Team

McKenzie’s Index

Differential

1. TAYLOR HALL

Edmonton

1

-

2. TYLER SEGUIN

Boston

2

-

3. ERIK GUDBRANSON

Florida

3

-

4. RYAN JOHANSEN

Columbus

6

+2

5. NINO NIEDERREITER

NYI

7

+2

6. BRETT CONNOLLY

Tampa Bay

8

+2

7. JEFF SKINNER

Carolina

10

+3

8. ALEXANDER BURMISTROV

Atlanta

12

+4

9. MIKAEL GRANLUND

Minnesota

13

+4

10. DYLAN MCILRATH

NYR

15

+5

11. JACK CAMPBELL

Dallas

9

-2

12. CAM FOWLER

Anaheim

5

-7

13. BRANDON GORMLEY

Phoenix

4

-9

14. JADEN SCHWARTZ

St. Louis

29

+15

15. DEREK FORBORT

Los Angeles

11

-4

16. VLADIMIR TARASENKO

St. Louis

16

-

17. JOEY HISHON

Colorado

51

+34

18. AUSTIN WATSON

Nashville

14

-4

19. NICK BJUGSTAD

Florida

19

-

20. BEAU BENNETT

Pittsburgh

18

-2

21. RILEY SHEAHAN

Detroit

21

-

22. JARRED TINORDI

Montreal

23

+1

23. MARK PYSYK

Buffalo

20

-3

24. KEVIN HAYES

Chicago

49

+25

25. QUINTIN HOWDEN

Florida

26

+1

26. EVGENY KUZNETSOV

Washington

24

-2

27. MARK VISENTIN

Phoenix

60

+33

28. CHARLIE COYLE

San Jose

32

+4

29. EMERSON ETEM

Anaheim

17-12

30. BROCK NELSON

NYI34

+4



3 comments:

  1. lordosis11:05 p.m.

    Bobby Mac rules. By far my favourite hockey expert.

    ReplyDelete
  2. hebsie993:34 p.m.

    Who was taken 32nd overall? any good? Would you trade Seguin and who was taken 32nd and a 1st for Kessel now? Knowing who the Leafs picks this year were? I wouldnt.

    ReplyDelete
  3. hebsie99 - Good question.

    Jared Knight of the London Knights was the 32nd overall pick. He led the Knights in goal scoring playing alongside Leaf prospect Nazem Kadri.

    Not sure if I'd trade Seguin and Knight for Kessel (I probably would).

    Were I GM of the Leafs I would NOT trade Seguin, Knight and the 2011 1st round pick for Kessel.

    ReplyDelete